Tuesday, March 13, 2012

AmCap's Kentucky Derby Dozen - March 13

I've been invited once again to participate in the WirePlayers' Derby Dozen. This is a fantastic exercise which really familiarizes me with all the Derby trail results and forces me to consider talented new shooters.

While we eagerly anticipate the updated/consolidated list from WirePlayers, I offer my personal list as a means for reconnecting with racing enthusiasts like yourself. Please note that some of these comments are meant to lighten the serious business of finding the winner of Kentucky Derby 138. I don't mean to offend anyone and have genuine respect for the horses and connections that made my list. I would love to read comments about my list and any other tidbits you have to offer.

Good luck and enjoy the races!

AmCap's Derby Dozen
1. CREATIVE CAUSE – High weight, fast pace, stubborn foe, late lead change, wide trip, fast finish…overcame San Felipe adversity like a legit Kentucky Derby contender.
2. UNION RAGS – Won a soft-paced Fountain of Youth; what happens in the Florida Derby when facing legit splits?
3. EL PADRINO – “Godfather” earned the Risen Star win in a manner that would make a young Vito Corleone proud.
4. HANSEN – Escaped to New York for the Gotham win, but would the “white hope” be considered that great if his Holy Bull conqueror ALGORITHMS hadn’t been injured?
5. SECRET CIRCLE – Proved he’s not just a sprinter after winning a division of the Southwest off a good Sham 2nd, which should not have been a secret to fans of grandsire UNBRIDLED
6. MIDNIGHT TRANSFER – Good San Felipe 3rd earned Cinderella Carla’s colt another Derby trail trip, but will the shiny chestnut turn into a pumpkin going two turns the second time?
7. BODEMEISTER – Put away San Felipe pretender American Act and persevered like a son of Empire Maker should on the Derby trail, but will bloom come off before he runs for the roses?
8. ALPHA – Was the top dog in New York this winter, but will he prove more omega against UNION RAGS or HANSEN next out?
9. CASTAWAY – Won the “slower” Southwest division, but with room to improve the son of STREET SENSE could make the “other Baffert” angle known to the world come Derby day.
10. GEMOLOGIST – Will prove to be a diamond in the rough if the late-blooming TIZNOW juvenile of 2011 and late starting 3y.o. of 2012 is to win the first jewel in the Triple Crown.
11. TAKE CHARGE INDY – If he could legitimately take charge, wouldn’t he have started and won while overcoming his bad post in the Tampa Bay Derby last weekend anyway?
12. LIASON – Improved over a lackluster R.B. Lewis with a competitive 4th in the San Felipe; the former G.I winner may develop for Baffert like REAL QUIET did in the spring of 1998.


Michael said...

Flying Jib is running Saturday

Amateurcapper said...

Thanks, Michael.

I so wish I could be there...I'm preparing a post in his honor, check back.